"Despite this admonition, people are overconfident in claiming correlations to support favored causal interpretations and are surprised by the results of randomized experiments, suggesting that they are biased & systematically underestimate the prevalence of confounds / common-causation."
Read it!"So my take on Rich Sutton’s piece is that the lesson we should learn from the last seventy years of AI research is not at all that we should just use more computation and that always wins. "
Read it!Estimating the probability of a fatal injury occurring during bike commuting to work in New York.
Read it!